Probability
What probability means
You learn how to find the chance of an event as a fraction of all possible outcomes. This helps you make sense of simple chances in games, choices, and everyday situations.
What you will practise
- Count the favourable outcomes in a simple event.
- Count all equally likely outcomes correctly.
- Write probability as a fraction and simplify it.
- Find the probability of the opposite event.
- Use data from bags, dice, coins, and weather.
Before you start
You should already be able to count small sets and compare fractions. It also helps if you understand basic words like event, outcome, and total.
Not confident yet? Work through Data handling and averages first.
Worked example
One question from this skill's own question bank, shown with its full working.
A fair die is rolled once. What is the probability of getting a 4?
- 1/2
- 1/4
- 1/6
- 4/6
Working: A die has 6 equally likely faces, and only one shows 4.
Common mistakes to avoid
- Counting the wrong outcomes as favourable. Check the question and name only the matching outcomes.
- Forgetting to count every possible outcome. Always use the full sample space in the denominator.
- Mixing up the event with its opposite. Read carefully before using 1 minus the probability.
- Leaving fractions unsimplified when they can reduce. Divide top and bottom by the same number.
Curriculum and exam alignment
This usually appears in Junior High School work on data and chance before learners meet exam-style questions in Basic 7 to Basic 9. It supports BECE preparation by building skill with simple fractions and interpretation of everyday probability.
Curriculum notes are a general guide to where this work normally sits. Always check the syllabus your school or examination body is currently using.
Related skills
Other JHS Data & Probability skills in Maths, at the same point in the course.
Other Maths topics
Related study guides
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Exams that assess probability
Junior High work on this skill feeds directly into these exam papers. Each page lists the Maths topics that appear on it.
How this page was produced
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Practise probability
6 questions with a worked answer after every attempt, and a SmartScore that tracks how close you are to mastery.
